Rainfall during the second half of the monsoon (August and September) for the country as a whole is forecast to be 100 percent of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of ±8 percent. This should augur well for the Kharif crops such as oilseeds, pulses, and cotton among others. The forecast suggests that the rainfall during the second half of the monsoon season will most likely be normal (94-106 percent of LPA ) with a probability of 45 percent.